
(...)O novo relatório do IPCC vem "concretizar suspeições que existem há dez anos", nota Ricardo Trigo, e isso é importante porque "ajuda a tirar dúvidas a quem ainda as tivesse".
Se o mal está feito - se, mesmo que mudássemos a nossa forma de vida tal como a conhecemos, os efeitos vão continuar -, isso quer dizer que é tarde demais?
"É uma questão importante", sublinha Ricardo Trigo. "Muitos investigadores que trabalham nos melhores centros internacionais dizem que mesmo que no melhor dos cenários se conseguisse reduzir em 50 ou 60 por cento as emissões do gases com efeito de estufa é imprescindível gastar-se muito dinheiro em soluções tecnológicas que permitam aos países adaptar-se às novas condições. Se há um aumento do nível médio do mar, os países que têm costa precisam de pensar em medidas para enfrentar o problema."(in Público,26.12.2006)
Currículo de Ricardo Trigo
Alguns artigos em pdf disponibilizados em sua página
1999 - 2003
Trigo R.M., Palutikof J.P. (1999) "Simulation of daily temperatures for climate change scenarios over Portugal: a Neural Network Model approach". Climate Research (13, 45-59). * Download paper in pdf
Osborn T.J., Briffa K.R., Tett S.F.B., Jones P.D., Trigo R.M. (1999) "Evaluation of the North Atlantic Oscillation as simulated by a coupled climate model". Climate Dynamics (15, 685-702).* Download paper in pdf
Trigo R.M., DaCamara C.C. (2000) "Circulation Weather Types and their impact on the precipitation regime in Portugal". International Journal of Climatology .* Download paper in pdf
Santos C.A.G, Galvão C.O., Suzuki K., Trigo R.M. (2001) "Matsuyama city raifall data analysis using Wavelet transform". Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE. 45, 211-216. Download paper in pdf
Trigo R.M., Palutikof J.P. (2001) “Precipitation scenarios over Iberia: a comparison between direct GCM output and different downscaling techniques”. Journal of Climate, 14, 4422-4446. * Download paper in pdf
Dessai S., Trigo R.M. (2001) "A Ciência das Alterações Climáticas". FINISTERRA, Vol. XXXVI, 117-132. Download paper in pdf
Trigo R.M., Osborn T.J., Corte-Real J.M. (2002) “The North Atlantic Oscillation influence on Europe: climate impacts and associated physical mechanisms”. Climate Research, 20, 9-17. * Download paper in pdf *
Trigo R.M., Corte-Real J.M., Osborn T.J. (2002) “Influência da Oscilação do Atlântico Norte no clima da Europa e no caudal de três rios Ibéricos”, FINISTERRA, Vol. XXXVII, 5-31. Download paper in pdf
2004
Trigo R.M., Trigo I.M., DaCamara C.C., Osborn T.J. (2004) “Winter blocking episodes in the European-Atlantic sector: climate impacts and associated physical mechanisms in the Reanalysis”. Climate Dynamics, 23, 17-28. * Download paper in pdf
Trigo R.M., Pozo-Vazquez D., Osborn T.J, Castro-Diez Y., Gámis-Fortis S., Esteban-Parra M.J. (2004) “North Atlantic Oscillation influence on precipitation, river flow and water resources in the Iberian Peninsula”. International Journal of Climatology, 24, 925-944. * Download paper in pdf
Díaz J, Linares C., López C., García-Herrera R., Trigo R.M. (2004) “Relationship between Environmental Factors and Infant Mortality in Madrid, 1986-1997”. Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 6 (8): 768-774. * Download paper in pdf
Trigo R.M. (2004) “O Impacto da Oscilação do Atlântico Norte no caudal dos rios Ibéricos Intenacionais”, Física de La Tierra, 16, 185-195.
2005
Vaquero J.M., Trigo R.M., Gallego M.C. (2005) “A “lost” sunspot observation in 1785”. Astronomische Nachricht . 326, 112-114. * Download paper in pdf
García-Herrera R., Díaz J., Trigo R.M., Hernandez E. (2005) “Extreme summer temperatures in Iberia: health impacts and associated synoptic conditions”. Annales Geophysicae, 23, 239-251. * Download paper in pdf
Pereira M.G., Trigo R.M., DaCamara C.C., Pereira J.M.C., Leite .S.M. (2005) “Synoptic patterns associated with large summer forest fires in Portugal. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 129, 11-25.* Download paper in pdf
Zêzere J.L., Trigo R.M., Trigo I.F. (2005) “Shallow and deep Landslides induced by rainfall in the Lisbon region (Portugal): assesement of relationships with the North Atlantic Oscillation”. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 5, 331-344.* Download paper in pdf
Trigo R.M., García-Herrera R., Díaz J., Trigo I.F., Valente M.A. (2005) “How exceptional was the early August 2003 heatwave in France?”. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L10701, doi:10.1029/2005GL022410. * Download paper in pdf
Vaquero J.M., Trigo R.M. (2005) “Results of the Rio de Janeiro magnetic observations 1781-1788”. Annales Geophysicaes, 23, 1881-1887.* Download paper in pdf
Trigo R.M., Zêzere J.L., Rodrigues M.L., Trigo I.F. (2005) “The influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on rainfall triggering of Landslides near Lisbon”. Natural Hazards, 36, 331-354, DOI 10.1007/s11069-005-1709-0.* Download paper in pdf
Damião M.C.M.., Trigo R.M., Cavalcanti I.F.A. and DaCamara C.C. (2005) Climatologia de bloqueios sobre o Oceano Pacífico Sul: período de 1960 a 2000, Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia,20(2), 175-190.
Vaquero J.M., Trigo R.M. (2005) “Auroras observed in Portugal in late 18th century obtained from printed and manuscript meteorological observations”. Solar Physics, 231, 157-165, DOI: 10.1007/s11207-005-1583-7.* Download paper in pdf
2006
Díaz J, García-Herrera R., Trigo R.M., Linares C., Valente M.A., Hernadéz E. (2006) “The impact of summer 2003 heat wave in Iberia: how should we measure it?”. International Journal of Biometeorology, 50, 159-166, DOI: 10.1007/s00484-005-0005-8.* Download paper in pdf
Paredes D., Trigo, R.M., Garcia-Herrera R., Trigo, I.F. (2006) “Understanding precipitation changes in Iberia in early Spring: weather typing and storm-tracking approaches”, Journal of Hidrometeorology, 7, 101–113.* Download paper in pdf
Vaquero J.M., Trigo R.M. (2006) “Identification of possible intense historical solar storms during the years 1781-1788 inferred from auroras and geomagnetic observations in Rio de Janeiro”. Solar Physics, 235; 419-432, DOI: 10.1007/s11207-006-0024-6. * Download paper in pdf
Trigo, R.M., R. Garcia-Herrera, and D. Paredes, 2006: Iberia . In State of the Climate in 2005, Shein, K.A., ed., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 87, Issue 6, pp. S83-S85.*
Vaquero J.M., Trigo R.M. (2006) “Results of Geomagnetic Observations in Central Africa by Portuguese Explorers during 1877-1885”. Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors,157; 8-15, doi:10.1016/j.pepi.2006.03.012. * Download paper in pdf
Nieto R., Gimeno L., Trigo R.M. (2006) “A Lagrangian identification of major sources of Sahel moisture ”. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L18707, doi:10.1029/2006GL027232.* Download paper in pdf
Vaquero J.M., Gallego M.C., Trigo R.M., Sánchez-Bajo F., Cancillo M.L. and García J.A. (2006) “A new reconstruction of total solar irradiance since 1832”. Atmosfera, 19, 267-274. * Download paper in pdf
Trigo R.M., Pereira J.M.C., Pereira M.G., Mota B., Calado M.T., DaCamara C.C., Santo F.E. (2006) “The exceptional fire season of summer 2003 in Portugal”. International Journal of Climatology , 26, 1741-1757. * Download paper in pdf
2007
Rodrigo, F.S, Trigo R.M.,.(2007) “Trends in daily rainfall in the Iberian Peninsula from 1951 to 2002”. International Journal of Climatology, 27: 513–529, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1409* Download paper in pdf
Nieto R., Gimeno L., Gallego D., Trigo R.M. (2007) “Identification of major sources of moisture and precipitation over Iceland”. Meteorologische Zeitschrift , 16, 37-44. * Download paper in pdf
Gimeno L., Nieto R., Trigo R.M. (2007) “Decay of the Northern stratospheric polar vortex and the occurrence of cut-off low systems”. Meteorological and Atmospheric Physics, 96, 21–28, DOI 10.1007/s00703-006-0218-3. * Download paper in pdf
Gimeno L., Trigo R.M. , Ribera P., Garcia J.A. (2007) “Editorial: Special issue on cut-off low systems (COL)”. Meteorological and Atmospheric Physics. 96, 1–2, DOI 10.1007/s00703-006-0216-5.* Download paper in pdf
Vaquero J.M., Trigo R.M., Gallego M.C., Moreno-Corral M.A. (2007) “Two early sunspots observers: Teodoro de Almeida and José Antonio Alzate”. Solar Physics, 240: 165–175, DOI 10.1007/s11207-006-0264-5 * Download paper in pdf